Charlemagne – How the British became the new Turks | Europe
March
19, 2021
By
March 20, 2021
LIFE IN BRUSSELS has become too exciting for British
diplomats. Before Brexit, they needed patience to haggle over boring and
complex politics. Now they find a knack for warmongering more useful. Since he
finished his departure from the I at the start of the year, the British
government threw itself into pieces with its former colleagues. He began by
refusing to offer ambassadorial status to the Is man in London. He then
unilaterally rolled back parts of his Northern Ireland deal, triggering
apoplexy from the European Commission, which accused him of violating
international law. British backdrop MPs accuse their European
peers of vaccine nationalism, after the I introduced export controls on jabs made in
the block. Allegations of hypocrisy and even malice swirl between London and
Brussels like a cranky Eurostar.
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Leaving the IBritain was always going
to be faced with a choice: should it be more like Switzerland or Turkey? The
neighboring countries of the world’s largest economic bloc must either accept
its supremacy or try to fight it. Switzerland and Turkey best represent these
two options. The Swiss, who have a complicated web of agreements with the I, can complain about Is dominance over their
affairs, but ultimately accept the intrusion. Turkey has a much simpler
relationship: a customs union that allows goods to move relatively freely. Yet
the government of President Recep Tayyip Erdogans fights the Europeans at all
times.
Britain could have gone both ways. Theresa
May, Prime Minister from 2016 to 19, enjoyed walking in the Alps and I with Swiss realism. Once outside the bloc, she felt,
Britain would still seek to influence her, meddling in everything from foreign
policy to data protection laws in the same way Switzerland binds itself to
various I rules. The plan was to make friends and influence
people, with diligent diplomacy making up for the loss of a seat at the table.
However, Ms Mays’ successor Boris Johnson, a proud descendant of an Ottoman
politician, took a much more Turkish approach. He drove Britain out of the I and in a loose and rather shallow free trade agreement
with him. He sees Europe as a sovereign rival and his diplomats follow his
example. Private deliberation is over. The public confrontation is there.
Brussels is there to be criticized, especially when it does scandalous things,
like threatening to block vaccine exports to Britain.
Britain discovered its rebellious streak
quite late in the day. After voting to leave in 2016, he continued to abide by
the block rules. UK officials diligently attended meetings on I youth politics and the like, even though home politics
was a four-year game. But now a sharper tone emits from them. During the difficult
discussions, as the period of transition to the status quo ended on December
31, officials wore Union Jack lanyards. David Frost, the peer at the head of
the British camp, told them to be leaders and not mice. Then and thereafter,
threats to tear up agreements already made were frequent. It’s a tactic that I officials negotiating with Turkey will recognize,
given Mr Erdogans’ repeated threats to end a deal with the I on refugees. Turkey has been playing this game for a
long time. Britain, on the other hand, is still experimenting. It’s like a
teenager who questions his identity, says a somewhat condescending Eurocrat.
An element of nihilism hangs over the
relationship. Neither side wants or expects a deeper partnership anytime soon.
Britain is happy to scrap with the I because there is not much at stake. New
infringement procedures, which can lead to fines, are not very threatening.
(Dozens of such cases are already open against Britain.) Other sanctions are
just as brutal. The I may withhold valuable trinkets as a
financial match decision, which would allow UK insurers and asset managers to
operate in the I. But UK officials have already put the odds of such a
concession at close to zero. The threat to withdraw an offer that one never
intended to make is not very powerful, as the Turkish government can attest.
Turkey has launched its candidacy to join the I in 1987, however, the path turned out to
be a treadmill rather than a traveler. He knows his prospects of joining the
bloc are nonexistent and he behaves accordingly.
Toblerone with
Turkish Delight
In Europe, geography is fate. All parties
are stuck with each other whether their government accepts it or not.
Switzerland smooths over its disagreements through constant negotiations with
the I, haggle over everything from the free movement of
people to banking secrecy in an endless cycle of discussions. Being a small
landlocked country in the heart of the European continent lends itself to a
grumpy compromise. Turkey is in a much more inconvenient place. Seen as not
quite European by those in Brussels, it is both too small to pose a challenge
but too big to be pushed. In short, he is in a position that Britain can relate
to. This poses an enigma to the I, too much. Unlike
Switzerland, Great Britain and Turkey are military partners, not just economic
ones. Both are members of NATO. The IThe most pressing
strategic issues, including an unstable North Africa and an interfering Russia,
will be resolved more easily if Turkey and Britain agree.
However, it can prove to be even more
difficult for the I build a constructive relationship with Great Britain
than with Turkey. Ultimately, the I doesn’t care much about Turkey’s fate as
long as it remains stable. In the case of Great Britain and I, each side needs the other to fight (although neither
will admit it). For Europe, Britain’s situation must be clearly worse because
of its exit from the bloc. In exchange for following all of its restrictions,
the I promises prosperity. The prospect of a large, prosperous
economy with a different worldview just off its northwest coast is
uncomfortable. For the British government, the pain of leaving the I must be seen to be worth it. It is easier to claim if
the I fails to become a beacon of transnational bliss.
Friction is inevitable. Those who hope for a boring relationship are out of
luck.
This article appeared in the Europe section of the print edition under the
headline “The New Turks”
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