Biden's Speech Calls for U.S. to Take On China and Russia
David E. Sanger 51 mins
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President Biden justified his broad vision to remake
the American economy as the necessary step to survive long-run competition
with China, a foot race in
which the United States must prove not only that democracies can deliver, but
that it can continue to out-innovate and outproduce the world’s most successful
authoritarian state.
© Doug Mills/The New York Times President Biden acknowledged that
his foreign policy depends on convincing Americans to make necessary
investments at home, and convincing allies that the U.S. could be counted on to
have their back.
His speech to Congress was
laced with the themes of a new iteration of Cold War competition — more
technological than military — without ever uttering the words Cold War.
America’s adversaries, Mr. Biden said, are looking at America’s deep
polarization and the Jan. 6 assault on the U.S. Capitol “as proof that the sun
is setting on American democracy.”
“We have to prove democracy still works,” Mr. Biden
said, repeating a rallying call he first
used a month ago, and that aides say he often invokes in White House
strategy sessions.
It was all part of Mr. Biden’s effort to lift his
infrastructure and rebuilding plans to a higher plane, much as John F. Kennedy
did in his “we choose to go to the moon” speech nearly six decades ago. But the
history of more recent efforts by American presidents to revive that unifying
national emotion is mixed at best; Barack Obama attempted it with his call to meet “our generation’s
Sputnik moment” in his State of the Union address 10 years ago. It
fell flat.
A decade later, the challenge is even more complex:
The United States now faces a far more capable technological competitor, a far
more complex military standoff, and a starker ideological conflict. “We’re at a
great inflection point in history,” Mr. Biden said. In fact, he is facing the
worst relations in two decades with very different superpower adversaries that
are seeking to exploit America’s very visible divisions. And so he is making
the case that the country must compete with rising power in China, while
containing a disrupter in Russia.
© China Daily/Reuters Turbine blades at a manufacturing plant in Jiangsu Province in China.
“There is simply no reason why the blades for wind turbines can’t be built in
Pittsburgh instead of Beijing,” Mr. Biden said on Wednesday.
Whether he can turn both the country and America’s
allies to that task, his aides acknowledge, may well define his presidency.
Xi Jinping, the Chinese leader Mr. Biden got to know a
decade ago, is “deadly earnest on becoming the most significant, consequential
nation in the world,” Mr. Biden argued. And Mr. Xi and President Vladimir V.
Putin of Russia, who are developing their own alliance of convenience to
challenge the United States, are among those who “think that democracy can’t
compete in the 21st century with autocracies, because it takes too long to get
consensus.”
Even the Republicans who denounced Mr. Biden’s plan
Wednesday night as “socialist dreams,” the phrase used by Senator Tim Scott of South Carolina
in the Republican response, do not argue with his China analysis.
When Mr. Biden said “there is simply no reason why the blades for wind turbines
can’t be built in Pittsburgh instead of Beijing. No reason, none,” he sounded a
lot like George W. Bush 20 years ago, with echoes of Donald J. Trump.
When he added that there was “no reason why American
workers can’t lead the world in the production of electric vehicles and
batteries,” he was combining two of his signature arguments: that the United
States has the capability to outpace China, and his assertion that a green
agenda produces jobs.
Yet the technological competition, while central to
the problem, is only part of it. The infrastructure plan, with its emphasis on
moving semiconductor manufacturing back to the United States and focusing on 5G
networks, artificial intelligence and advanced robotics, is the modern-day
space race. But Mr. Biden’s first 100 days have also been marked by pushing
back on human rights violations and territorial threats, and declarations
that Russia had to back off from Ukraine and China had to stop threatening
Taiwan. That all adds a darker element.
© Nicolas Asfouri/Agence France-Presse — Getty Images Mr. Biden sees
Xi Jinping, the leader of China, as a worthy competitor who could push China to
dominate trade and technology worldwide.
“I hope, as Biden said, that our competition with
China can remain free of conflict and our responses to Putin’s belligerent
actions can remain proportionate, while still trying to engage with Beijing and
Moscow on issues of mutual interest,” said Michael A. McFaul, the Stanford
political scientist who served as Mr. Obama’s ambassador to Russia.
“I fear that the challenges from both of these
autocracies also will require grander strategies of containment,” he said.
“After all, we compete with China not just in markets, but also regarding
security and ideological issues, which tend toward more conflictual, zero-sum
outcomes.”
Mr. Biden has already acknowledged that, implicitly,
in his announcement imposing sanctions earlier this month against Russia for
its SolarWinds cyberattack on federal agencies and businesses, and for its
disinformation efforts during the 2020 elections. But as Mr. McFaul noted,
“Ukrainians, Belarusians, Georgians and Navalny supporters
will remind you that those are not the only two domains in which Putin is
acting belligerently against those fighting for freedom and human rights.”
What is becoming clear from Mr. Biden’s first months
in office — and from the Wednesday speech — is that he is pursuing very
different strategies for China and Russia.
He clearly regards Mr. Xi as a worthy competitor who
will force America to up its game — thus the focus in his speech on education,
speedier, universal internet access, and on partnerships with industry in new
technologies. Mr. Biden has made clear to his aides, in lengthy Situation Room
sessions on China strategy, that his administration must finally focus the
country on the existential threat of a world in which China dominates in trade
and technology, and controls the flow of electrons — and the ideas they carry.
In contrast, he regards Mr. Putin’s Russia as a
declining power whose only real capability is to act as a disrupter — one that
seeks to split NATO, undermine democracy and poke holes in the computer and
communications networks that the United States, and the rest of the world,
depend upon. That came through in the speech. While he did not repeat his
reference to Mr. Putin as a “killer,” he focused on the recent sanctions. “He
understands we will respond,” he said, while opening the door to new agreements
on arms control and climate.
But making this twin strategy of competition and
containment work, Mr. Biden acknowledged at one point, depended on persuading
Americans to make the necessary investments, and convincing allies that the
United States would have their backs.
The pandemic response, he suggested, paved the way.
One hundred days ago it would have been hard to imagine any country turning to
the United States for coronavirus aid; now India has, and the
pressure on Mr. Biden is how fast he can deploy vaccines to the rest of the
world, at a moment that domestic politics suggests he needs to vaccinate all
willing Americans first.
But when the pandemic abates, the divisions in the
United States will remain. And those divisions, he knows, will be exploited by
Mr. Xi and Mr. Putin to further their argument that America is in terminal
decline.
It is still a powerful argument, one that Mr. Biden
acknowledged when he described his conversations with nearly 40 world leaders.
“I’ve made it known that America is back,” he said.
“And you know what they say? The comment that I hear most of all from them is
they say, ‘We see America is back but for how long? But for how long?
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