Vaccines: a very European
disaster
Paul Krugman – 23 March 2021
On
healthcare, the US has a lot to learn from Europe’s successes. Yet the latter's
vaccination fiasco also revealed flawed institutions and attitude
The
United States has a lot to learn from Europe’s policy successes, especially
when it comes to healthcare. Every wealthy European nation provides universal health
insurance while spending far less than we do, even though our system leaves
tens of millions uninsured. And all indications are that the general quality of
care is very good; on average, for example, the French can expect to live four
years longer than their American counterparts.
Yet
at this crucial moment in the Covid-19 saga, when new vaccines finally offer a
realistic prospect of returning to normal life, policy in the European Union
has been marked by one bungle after another. Jabs in arms got off to a slow
start: Adjusted for population, Britain and the US have administered around
three times as many doses as France or Germany. And the EU countries are still
lagging, administering vaccines less than half as rapidly as we are.
Europe’s
vaccination debacle will almost surely end up causing thousands of unnecessary
deaths. And the thing is, the continent’s policy bungles don’t look like
isolated instances, a few bad decisions made by a few bad leaders. Instead, the
failures seem to reflect fundamental flaws in the continent’s institutions and
attitudes — including the same bureaucratic and intellectual rigidity that made
the euro crisis a decade ago far worse than it should have been.
Averse to the wrong
risks
The
details of the European failure are complex. But the common thread seems to be
that European officials were not just risk averse, but averse to the wrong
risks. They seemed deeply worried about the possibility that they might end up
paying drug companies too much, or discover that they had laid out money for
vaccines that either proved ineffective or turned out to have dangerous side
effects.
So
they minimised these risks by delaying the procurement process, haggling over
prices and refusing to grant liability waivers. They seemed far less worried
about the risk that many Europeans might get sick or die because the vaccine
rollout was too slow.
Furt
Reading
the tale of Europe’s sluggish vaccine efforts, I was reminded of H.L. Mencken’s
definition of Puritanism as ‘the haunting fear that someone, somewhere, may be
happy.’ Eurocrats seem similarly haunted by the fear that someone, somewhere —
whether it be pharmaceutical companies or Greek public-sector employees — might
be getting away with something.
During
the euro crisis this attitude led to the imposition of harsh, destructive
austerity policies on debtor nations, lest they somehow fail to pay a
sufficient price for past fiscal irresponsibility. This time it meant focusing
on driving a hard bargain with drug companies, even at the cost of a possibly
deadly delay, lest there be any hint of profiteering.
Needless
to say, here in America we have a much more relaxed attitude toward corporate
profiteering — too relaxed, much of the time. But in this case it served us
well, because we didn’t pinch pennies in a health crisis.
Europe’s hostility
towards science
Europe
also has other problems. Vaccination was delayed by attempts to pursue a common
European policy, which would be OK if Europe had anything resembling a unified
government. But it doesn’t; instead, national governments held back on drug
contracts while waiting for consensus.
Furthermore,
purchasing vaccines isn’t the end of the story; you also have to get them in
people’s arms. And there’s nothing in Europe comparable to the national distribution
and vaccination push that has rapidly gained momentum since the Biden
administration came to power.
Finally,
Europe turns out to have a problem with widespread hostility to science. Of
course, so do we — but theirs is different, in ways that are doing a lot of
harm.
Reluctance to take a Covid-19 vaccine, even if
available, is hardly unknown here, but anti-vaccine sentiment appears to be
alarmingly broad in Europe, especially in France.
In
America, most — although by no means all — hostility to science comes from the
right, especially the religious right. We’re a nation full of
anti-evolutionists, climate change deniers and, more recently, Covid deniers —
forms of science denial that are much less common in Europe. But other
anti-scientific attitudes, less easily placed on a left-right spectrum, are
distressingly widespread.
Reluctance
to take a Covid-19 vaccine, even if available, is hardly unknown here, but
anti-vaccine sentiment appears to be alarmingly broad in Europe, especially in
France.
The European project
is in trouble
All
of these problems came to a head last week, when a number of European nations
suspended use of the AstraZeneca vaccine based on probably spurious hints that
some recipients may experience blood clots. Again, policymakers were obsessed
with the wrong risks — even if there are adverse side effects, they surely pale
in comparison with the damage to the inoculation drive.
And
again Europe failed to coordinate: Germany unilaterally suspended AstraZeneca,
and others rushed to follow out of fear that they would be blamed if anything
went wrong (other than people dying because they didn’t get their shots).
As
I said, the most disturbing thing about this whole fiasco is that it can’t be
blamed merely on a few bad leaders. Instead, it seems to reflect fundamental
flaws in institutions and attitudes. The European project is in deep trouble.
(c) New York Times
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