On Monday, the world marked one year since Hamas inflicted the worst attack on Israel since its founding. But amid remembrances for those who died on Oct. 7, 2023, there is growing concern about Israel’s retaliations in Gaza and Lebanon, the rising death toll in those places, and the possibility of an even bigger conflict against Iran.
Has Oct. 7 transformed the region? Not really, argued Aaron David Miller, a former advisor to several Republican and Democratic administrations, on FP Live. “When I look at this corner of the Middle East, I see the three conflicts that continue to persist: Israel versus Hamas, Israel versus Hezbollah, Israel versus Iran,” he said. “None of the problems in this region pertaining to Israel, Lebanon, Syria, Iran, and Israel have been resolved. Resolution seems to be further away than ever before.”
What about global opinion, as countries such as Spain, Ireland, and Norway unilaterally recognized Palestine in the past year? “The international response to Oct. 7 and, very quickly, to Israel’s prosecution of war has created a situation that Israel has never experienced before,” Miller said. “Will the Israeli brand recover? Will Israel be now forever identified as an outlier in the international community, a pariah among nations? But while Oct. 7 and the Israeli prosecution of the war reached a new level, is that a headline, or is it a trend line?”
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