China’s Leaders Can’t Be Trusted
Sep 28, 2020CHRIS PATTEN
Four examples of the Chinese leadership’s duplicity and mendacity
demonstrate that the last thing the world should do is trust the Communist
Party of China. If governments recognize this and act together, the sooner the
Beijing bullies will have to behave better.
LONDON – When I was governor of Hong Kong, one of my noisiest critics was
Sir Percy Cradock, a former British ambassador to China. Cradock always argued
that China would never break its solemn promises, memorialized in a treaty
lodged at the United Nations, to guarantee Hong Kong’s high degree of autonomy
and way of life for 50 years after the return of the city from British to
Chinese sovereignty in 1997.
1.
Cradock once memorably said that although China’s leaders may be “thuggish
dictators,” they were “men of their word” and could be “trusted to do what they
promise.” Nowadays, we have overwhelming evidence of the truth of the first
half of that observation.
Chinese President Xi Jinping’s dictatorship is certainly thuggish. Consider
its policies in Xinjiang. Many international lawyers argue that the
incarceration of over one million Muslim Uighurs, forced sterilization and
abortion, and slave labor meet the UN definition of genocide. This wicked
repression goes beyond thuggery.
A recent Australian Strategic Policy Institute study based on satellite
images indicates that China has built 380 internment camps in
Xinjiang, including 14 still under construction. Having initially denied that
these camps even existed, some Chinese officials now claim that most people
detained in them have already been returned to their own communities. Clearly,
this is far from the truth.
So, what about Xi and his apparatchiks being “men of their word”? Alas,
that part of Cradock’s description has no basis in reality. The last thing the
world should do is trust the Communist Party of China (CPC). Four examples of
the Chinese leadership’s duplicity and mendacity – four out of many – should
make this obvious to all.
First, consider the China-sourced COVID-19 pandemic, which has
killed almost one million people globally and destroyed jobs and livelihoods on
a horrendous scale in recent months. After the 2002-03 SARS epidemic, which
also originated in China, the World Health Organization negotiated with its
members – including China – to establish a set of guidelines known as the International Health Regulations. Under these
rules, especially Article 6, the Chinese government is obliged – like all other
signatories to the agreement – to collect information on any new public-health
emergency and report it to the WHO within 24 hours.
Instead, as the University of Ottawa professor Errol Patrick Mendes, a
distinguished international human-rights lawyer, has pointed out, China
“suppressed, falsified, and obfuscated data and repressed advance warnings
about the contagion as early as December” last year.
The result is that the coronavirus has become a far greater menace than it
otherwise would have been. This is the CPC’s coronavirus, not least because the
party silenced brave Chinese doctors when they tried to blow the whistle on
what was happening.
Former US President Barack Obama also can attest to Xi’s lack of
trustworthiness. In September 2015, Xi assured Obama that China was not
pursuing militarization in and around the Spratly Islands in the South China
Sea.
But this was a pledge with Chinese communist characteristics: it was completely
untrue. Satellite imagery released by the Center for Strategic and
International Studies, a US think tank, provides convincing evidence that the Chinese
military has deployed large batteries of anti-aircraft guns on the islands. At
the same time, the Chinese navy has rammed and sunk Vietnamese fishing vessels
in these waters and tested new anti-aircraft carrier missiles there.
A third example of the CPC’s dishonesty is its full-frontal assault on Hong Kong’s
autonomy, freedom, and rule of law. Hong Kong represents all those aspects of
an open society that Chinese communists, despite their professed confidence in
their own technological totalitarianism, regard as an existential threat to the
surveillance state they have created.
Xi has therefore torn up the promises that China made to Hong Kong and the
international community in the 1984 Joint Declaration (and subsequently) that
the city would continue to enjoy its liberties until 2047. Moreover, the law
that China imposed to eviscerate Hong Kong’s freedom has extra-territorial scope.
Article 38 of the National Security Law can apply to anyone in Hong Kong,
mainland China, or any other country. So, for example, an American, British, or
Japanese journalist who wrote anything in his or her own country criticizing
the Chinese government’s policy in Tibet or Hong Kong could be arrested if he
or she were to set foot in Hong Kong or China.1
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Finally, one can add China’s sackful of broken trade and investment
promises, which overturned both the letter and spirit of what CPC officials had
previously pledged. China’s coercive commercial diplomacy includes threats not
to buy exports of countries whose governments have the courage to stand up to
Xi. This has happened to Norway, Australia, South Korea, Japan, Germany, the
United Kingdom, France, Canada, the United States, and others. The end result is
often less than China had threatened, but not before an industry or economic
sector has begged its government to back down.
One thing is clear: the world cannot trust Xi’s dictatorship. The sooner we
recognize this and act together, the sooner the Beijing bullies will have to
behave better. The world will be safer and more prosperous for it.
FEATURED
Oct 1, 2020 MARIANA MAZZUCATO, et
al.
Sep 29, 2020 NOURIEL ROUBINI
Sep 28, 2020 CHRIS PATTEN
4. The Republican Threat to the Republic
Oct 2, 2020 JOSEPH E. STIGLITZ
Writing for PS since 2000
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Chris
Patten, the last British governor of Hong Kong and a former EU commissioner for
external affairs, is Chancellor of the University of Oxford.
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