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The Bulletin October 3, 2026 - NEWSWEEK - With exactly one month until Election Day, we decode where Republicans and Democrats stand.

 

 

The Bulletin

October 3, 2026

 
 
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Good Morning and Happy Saturday!

With exactly one month until Election Day, we decode where Republicans and Democrats stand.

Also in this edition:

  • Trump’s ‘Donroe Doctrine’ faces biggest test in Brazil

  • Trump’s approval rating in every state

 
 
 
 
 

The Big Picture

 
 
Politics

Republicans Face Midterms Disaster—What Polling Reveals

We're exactly one month from Election Day, and the political weather is shifting.

Latest polls and forecasters now show Democrats competitive or ahead in races that could decide control of both the House and the Senate. The generic ballot, which asks voters which party they prefer in the abstract, tilts toward Democrats by more than eight points, and Democrats need four seats in each chamber to take the majority.

Democrats are hoping polling surges and low approval ratings for President Donald Trump help them ride a massive blue wave into the majority in both the House and the Senate. Republicans have pinned their hopes on the president hitting the campaign trail.

Behind those numbers are people who say they are worn down by high prices, economic uncertainty, and the war with Iran. That frustration is reaching states once considered safe for Republicans, including Texas, Ohio, Alaska, and Iowa. Other races, like Maine's Senate contest, are close enough that polls point in both directions.

A shift in the House majority would have consequences beyond the number of Republican seats lost. The majority party elects the Speaker, controls committee leadership and determines which legislation reaches the floor.

Many House Democrats have indicated a desire to impeach Trump. If the left takes the majority, impeachment could become possible. If Democrats take the Senate, the president could face a very politically painful impeachment trial, even if they don't have the 60 votes required to remove him from office.

Read more

Related:

Who Will Win the Midterms? Play Our Prediction Game

Midterm Race Ratings Have Never Mattered More and Never Been so Disruptive

 
 
 

Megha Mishra is a Newsletter Producer at Newsweek based in Mumbai, India. You can get in touch with her by emailing m.mishra@newsweek.com.

 
 
 
 

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Other Top Stories This Morning

 
 
 
 

Trump’s ‘Donroe Doctrine’ Faces Biggest Test Yet in Brazil

Brazilians head to the polls Sunday in an election that has turned into the most consequential test yet of President Donald Trump's push to remake Latin America in his image.

Continue reading.

 
 
 
 
 

Trump’s Approval Rating in Every State

One month before November's midterm elections, President Donald Trump is underwater in 39 states and every major battleground state, according to new polling.

Continue reading.

 
 
 
 
 

World in Brief

 
 
 
  • Two killed in Los Angeles shooting: At least two people were shot dead at a Los Angeles strip mall in Northridge on Friday, according to reports. Know what happened.

  • Trump says Democrats would make U.S. 3rd world country: President Donald Trump warned late Friday that Democratic policies would devastate America, citing an October 1 White House report projecting a $49 trillion decade-long cost. Read more.

  • FlyDubai co-pilot alleged attacker ID’d: The co-pilot accused of attacking the captain of a FlyDubai flight bound for Israel on Wednesday has been identified as 29-year-old Hamam Al Hammami, an Omani national who was previously barred from flying over concerns he had adopted extremist views. Know more.

  • Trump suffers legal setback: The Trump administration suffered a blow on Friday when a federal court ordered a temporary halt to the construction of the president’s border wall and associated infrastructure in the Big Bend region of Texas. Read more.

 
 
 
 

Data at a Glance

Supreme Court Justice Most ‘Disloyal’ to Trump as New Term Starts

 
 

President Donald Trump has grown increasingly frustrated with the justices he appointed to the U.S. Supreme Court, accusing them of disloyalty after a string of landmark rulings went against his administration. The court opens its new term on Monday with the president openly saying he regrets all three of his picks. Over the coming months, Justices Neil Gorsuch, Brett Kavanaugh and Amy Coney Barrett will weigh cases on immigration detention, deportations and voting rules, putting them once again in the position of ruling for or against the man who nominated them. Read more.

 
 
 
 

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Best of Opinion

 
 
 

How Democrats Can Rein in the High Cost of Energy

By Tim Ryan and Mary Landrieu

While Democrats can’t control what happens in the Strait of Hormuz or the president’s chaotic approach to foreign policy, we can champion steps—particularly at the state level—to lower the cost of energy bills.

Read more.

 
 
 
 
 
One Deeper Read
Stock image/file photo: U.S. Dollar bills. | GETTY

I’m a Disney Adult. No, I Won’t Take Off the Mickey Ears or Grow Up

 
 
 

I recently found myself at a backyard party in Los Angeles, the kind where everyone is very cool and freely spends $30 on an Erewhon smoothie. Somehow my best friend of 20-plus years and I ended up in a conversation about Disney adults with a group of people we barely knew.

"Oh, I have an annual pass to Disneyland," I offered, happily, with no hint of shame.

Some of the strangers looked surprised. Others clearly wanted to laugh. My friend, reading the room, jumped in to save me.

Read More
 
 

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