Early in his presidency, Joe Biden used to go around the world declaring “America is back.” What he really meant was that Donald Trump was gone.
Now that the ex-president is the presumptive Republican nominee, Biden can’t make that claim any more.
Trump, who turned decades of foreign policy upside down in his first term, is now one step from the Oval Office again after his sweep through the Republican nominating race culminating in a dominant showing in Super Tuesday statewide contests.
Trump’s last remaining rival Nikki Haley, the former US ambassador to the UN, formally suspended her campaign Wednesday, bowing to the inevitable reality that most others spotted back in January after she failed to beat the ex-president in New Hampshire, her most favorable state.
The rest of the world doesn’t get a vote in US elections, but often gets stuck with the fallout when the world’s most powerful country decides to take a lurching turn in a new direction. So, there is bound to be extreme concern among American allies that they are about to endure another stomach churning ride on Trump’s diplomatic roller coaster. Nations that profit from US confusion and disarray – like China and Russia – have an interest in exploiting the chaos that Trump might cause.
If he’s elected, Trump would likely seek to end the war in Ukraine on Russian President Vladimir Putin’s terms, might pull the US out of NATO, would surely again leave global climate arrangements, might seek to confront Iran and would likely back Benjamin Netanyahu with no reservations – if the Israeli prime minister is still in office by then.
The next time Biden encounters fellow world leaders at a big summit, he’s likely to get the following question: You said America is back. But for how long?
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