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Welcome to Front Page, where we break down Gallup's latest insights on our constantly evolving world. Here are the four insights you shouldn't miss this week: | ||||||
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1. Will 2025 Be Great? | ||||||
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Positive Outlook: When asked about 13 domestic and international possibilities for the coming year, Americans feel more positive than negative about what 2025 will bring for the stock market, employment and inflation: 66% anticipate market gains, 54% foresee full or increasing employment, and 52% expect “reasonable” price increases. Negative Outlook: At the same time, majorities predict 2025 will be a year of political conflict, economic difficulty, international discord, increasing power for China and Russia, and a rising federal budget deficit. | ||||||
2. Trump's Slim Transition Approval | ||||||
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The Data: A slight majority of Americans (51%) approve of the way Donald Trump is handling his presidential transition, significantly less than approved of recent past presidents-elect. Second-Term Boost: While his ratings are low relative to his peers, Trump receives better reviews for how he's handling his second transition than he did for his first in December 2016. | ||||||
3. Expectations for Trump's Second Term | ||||||
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The Data: Majorities of Americans are optimistic about how Trump will perform on seven key issues in his second administration, with expectations that he will control illegal immigration and reduce crime uniquely high compared with his predecessors. Expectations for Trump are mixed on two issues and pessimistic on eight. Second-Term Changes: Americans are much more likely today than in 2016 to believe Trump will keep the U.S. out of war (+17 points), as well as control illegal immigration (+9) and reduce crime (+8). However, optimism has waned for his handling of healthcare and education, dropping by 12 and 10 points, respectively. Additionally, confidence in his ability to heal political divisions has declined by six points. | ||||||
4. Opinions Shift on Ukraine | ||||||
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The Data: Americans are now split on whether the U.S. should support Ukraine's bid to reclaim captured territory from Russia, even if it prolongs the conflict (48%), or whether the U.S. should seek to end the war as quickly as possible, even if it means allowing Russia to keep territory it's captured (50%). This is a shift from prior measures that showed majority support for Ukraine fighting to reclaim its territory. Ukrainian Perceptions: In Gallup's latest surveys of Ukraine, conducted in August and October 2024, an average of 52% of Ukrainians preferred to see their country negotiate an end to the war as soon as possible. Nearly four in 10 Ukrainians (38%) believed their country should keep fighting until victory. |
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