Fondation Robert Schuman
Exclusive Interview with Luuk Van Middelaar
"A European political and public space has emerged from the crises"
Pandemonium is the imaginary capital of the Underworld in writer John Milton’s
Paradise Lost. Why did you give this title to your latest book?
This choice is firstly linked to the start of the Covid-19 crisis, a hellish experience,
with people dying in the corridors of hospitals, the military called to the rescue,
patients transferred from one place to another. Pandemonium is also about noise,
so the idea of public debate, of a clash of opinions, from which something new emerges,
a political action that seemed to me to be specific to this crisis. And then I’m a
writer and I couldn’t resist the pun with «Pandemic»!
With each crisis, some voices predict the imminent
demise of Europe as a political project. How can
this rhetoric of fear be explained?
It is fascinating. I’ve experienced it several times, with
the euro crisis, the refugee crisis, Brexit and now the
public health crisis. I see two reasons for this. The first is
that observers and even experts tend to underestimate
the forces that hold us together. There are the economic
forces: the internal market has played a decisive role in
uniting the EU-27 vis-à-vis London. There is the monetary dimension: the idea that we could leave the euro zone
has almost no credibility. It might therefore be suggested
that the «de facto solidarity» dear to Robert Schuman
works; the end of «Europe» would have a high economic
price, the cost of which is unknown. Finally, even if it
is less tangible and less quantifiable, there is a political
will to live together, which remains strong, particularly in
Germany and France; this involves a certain relationship
with history, a recognition that a group of states shares
the same space. This is what makes it possible in times
of crisis to find the energy to act together, an energy thatsometimes surprises the heads of state and government
themselves.
Why are Europeans not more aware of what binds
them together?
The problem is that all of these things seem to be taken
for granted now, we forget that they were sometimes
painfully acquired. This is true for the economic fabric;
it is true for peace on the continent. Various centrifugal
and centripetal forces shape the European Union, but it
is as if the centripetal elements have very few advocates,
credible ones at least. This is where I see the second reason for the discourse about the end of Europe, and that is
what I call «the prophets of doom», a tendency to exaggerate the danger when it comes to taking action. We are
a Union, not a State, with divergent interests depending
on the culture, history, and geography of each state. Political leaders therefore need to face a crisis before they
feel they can move forward together.
The European Union has long been a dispassionate, bureaucratic space. How has it changed?
For very deep-seated reasons, Europe was created as a
regulatory, depoliticised area, governed by law and expertise. The ability to defuse conflicts, to calm passions
and to build a continental market is certainly a quality,
but it can become a handicap when danger arises. Then
it is necessary to act quickly, win over public opinion and
show leadership. The old system was organised to take
time, to be patient, to negotiate long and hard. This was
done between experts, far from public opinion and the
media, which was not a problem as long as standards
VAT, compensatory amounts and other technical issues
were discussed. Not so with the crucial issues that the European Union is now facing, such as security, identity, solidarity, finance, borders: these issues concern all
citizens and not only the stakeholders dear to the Brussels bubble. A few years ago, some political scientists
wrote that no national election had ever been decided on
a European issue. This is no longer true; we have entered
another world! Today there is a European political and
public space that has emerged from all these crises.
You mention an «existential, Machiavellian moment» for the Union: it knows it is mortal and is
starting to react in the short term. Is it possible to
talk about a tipping point?
Yes, if you take ‘moment’ in the sense of a time of transition; I like to talk about a metamorphosis, with accelerations. Things really started to move in 2008, with the
banking crisis, and then in 2010 with the euro: a dozen
heads of government were defeated in elections in less
than two years because of the decisions, or non-decisions, that had been taken at EU level. Then there was
the migrant crisis which divided opinion. During the pandemic,
it was as if all these painful experiences came to the surface
and for the first time triggered bottom-up
political decisions, called for by the public. There was a cry
of alarm, a call for solidarity coming first from Italy, then
from Spain and France, calling on Europe to act. This
cry was louder than the lack of European competences
in the field of public health, louder also than the very
selfish reaction of the Member States (France included)
that was witnessed at first. Notably Angela Merkel heard
this cry. It was she, with the Franco-German agreement
of 18 May 2020, who realised that her country could not
afford to play the miser again, not only because it had to
come to the aid of countries that were going through hell,
but because it had to protect its own economic interests,
protect its exports and jobs. There was much less German
hypocrisy during this period than during the euro
area crisis.
The pandemic has therefore greatly accelerated
the evolution towards a shared destiny, what you
call a European res publica?
Indeed, you can see interactions within a wide European public space which do not always take the form
that theorists previously outlined. It cannot be said that it
is intergovernmental when one public opinion addresses
another directly; an attempt should be made to understand that something much more powerful, more interesting, more vibrant is happening. There were several
examples of this during the pandemic. In August 2020,
Italian mayors bought a page in the Frankfurter Allgemeine
Zeitung to call on Berlin to show financial solidarity.
Two German ministers wrote several op-eds in the press of
southern countries. The former Italian Prime Minister, Giuseppe
Conte, made appeals for help in the German and Dutch press.
This is not unprecedented; the former Greek finance minister,
Yanis Varoufakis, used this European public space in 2015
to try to shift the balance between discipline and solidarity,
albeit without much effect. In his own unpleasant way,
Viktor Orban talks about Europe, and not just about Hungary,
when he tries to influence the migration debate with his crusader
rhetoric and calls on the West to defend itself against the
so-called «infidels».
Isn’t the end of the ‘permissive consensus’, the
complacent indifference of citizens to a large market
that created jobs and wealth, more complicated to manage?
Political passion obviously goes both ways; citizens
sometimes want to applaud, sometimes want to criticise.
That is political life! This still proves very difficult for
many in Brussels to understand. Let’s take the example
of the public health crisis: the decision to purchase vaccines
jointly was one of the most far-reaching, almost
revolutionary taken by the European Union, because
the vaccine was the saviour, the light at the end of the
tunnel. But the Commission underestimated the public’s
expectations and therefore the tensions, criticisms and
passions that would be unleashed in the event of disappointment or problems. It is not used to being exposed to such an extent, to the heated media coverage that a public crisis brings, whereas in national politics you have to deal with one crisis after another.
The European project has been built up around two
visions, geographical extension and communitarisation, a perpetual movement towards more competences and more member states.
Did the founding fathers set Europe on the wrong path?
It would be foolish to say that they were wrong when
they did one of the few things that could be done in their
time. Those who are wrong are the ones who think that
the same answer is still valid today. The founding fathers
of Europe were men steeped in history, who had lived
through one or even two world wars. They were acutely
aware therefore of ‘historicity’, the fact that the world is
constantly changing and that each generation must find
its own answers. The method of building Europe was not
only supposed to be good historically, but also morally,
because it was supposed to lead to peace and that this
future represented good. So, for a long time it was difficult
to criticise certain aspects of it without being accused
of being anti-European. However, there are many taboos
associated with this period that must now be tackled
head-on.
What are these “taboos”?
The simplest one to understand is that of the border.
The Europe of the 1950s, and even of the Delors years,
was the Europe without borders. This meant removing,
dismantling, abolishing the borders between European
countries, not just for economic reasons but also because
the border was seen as a bad thing, a reminder of the
past, a reminder of wars, divisions and therefore of evil.
It was as if, to overcome the dangers of nationalism, a
universalism, a cosmopolitanism, was needed, in which
Europe would serve as a model for the whole world, in
which Europeans would be ‘citizens of the world’. Europe
was supposed to be an open space, and this space is
indeed a godsend for those citizens who like to move
around, to travel, trade, study abroad; but in the process
it has neglected its protective function as a place,
as a home. Moreover, no thought has been given to the
question of external borders. Where does Europe stop,
how far should it expand? The whole issue of space was
left unsaid, and this has led to disasters. The conflict
between Ukraine and Russia is partly linked to our lack
of clarity on the subject. The same applies to Turkey
where a situation of great ambiguity has been created.
Nevertheless, thought is being given to the matter. Think
of Frontex, which has become a more robust European
border guard. Or think of international trade, with new
requirements in terms of reciprocity and trade defence
vis-à-vis the outside world, as opposed to open trade within our own single market. A very concrete difference is
now emerging between ‘we’, Europeans’ and ‘the others,
the rest of the world’. For the first time, there is even a
European Commissioner responsible for «Promoting our
European way of life».
What would you include in this European identity?
Firstly, values such as democracy, equality, and the rule
of law can be included. But this does not exhaust the
subject, the difficulties begin afterwards, for example
regarding what distinguishes us from the Americans.
It might be said that we occupy a space together that
is neither Asia, nor Africa, nor America, nor the Arctic,
that we have lived through eventful times together,
historically, on this small piece of Eurasia, including two
world wars. And it cannot be denied that Christianity is
the religion that has shaped the way of life in Europe. In
the Middle Ages, the Church structured society, people’s
relationship with others, with life and death, with time;
it also laid the foundations of the pre-modern political
order, with its parishes and bishoprics, with the Pope at
the top. Europe was then Christian in the societal and
political sense, which is why today’s Europe is among
other things ‘post-Christian’.
How can the Union’s plurality of values, which is
also a European strength and uniqueness be managed?
I would distinguish two levels. When I speak of a conflict
between values, I am doing so with a view of raising
awareness that the world of tomorrow will be more difficult for Europeans than that of today or yesterday. It
will no longer be self-evident to have security, prosperity
and freedom at the same time.
How will we react when we have to choose between
contradictory demands from Beijing and Washington, for example if the Americans ask us to stop exporting to China?
Will we have to accept this in the name of the protection
the US offers us with NATO?
Will we be prepared to accept the consequences for our
citizens, in terms of jobs or climate negotiations? Or take
migration. What should we do at the time of major crises
and instability in the neighbourhood, between either opening or closing borders? How can solidarity and security
be articulated? But let there be no mistake, plurality of
values does not mean that everything is permitted in the
Union. To some extent we must admit that Chinese President
Xi Jinping can do what he wants at home, in the
name of Realpolitik, but this is not the case for Viktor
Orban. Hungary is a member of the European Union, and
we must, for the sake of the fundamental values on which
our identity is based, ensure that coherence is maintained
between the member states.
The attacks on the rule of law in Budapest and Warsaw
show that it is difficult to maintain this consistency. How can the European Union resolve the crisis with Poland, accused of
questioning the primacy of European law and flouting
the independence of the judiciary?
This crisis is obviously very difficult to resolve. Of the two
problems you mention, the attack on the independence
of the Polish judiciary seems to me by far the most serious.
The future of Poland is at stake: will it remain a constitutional
democracy or will it continue on the path to autocracy? This is a real headache for the Union, which defines itself as a club of
democracies.
The Polish attack on the supremacy of European law is a side issue.
This is a very clever move on the part of the government, since
it allows it to pose as the true defender of the homeland
against ‘Brussels’, invoking - in bad faith - other European examples such as the rulings of the German Constitutional Court and even the Brexit vote. To make the supremacy of European law the main issue is therefore to fall into a trap that the Polish Prime Minister, Mateusz
Morawiecki, is setting for the EU institutions. Political and
financial pressure will have to be increased against the
Polish government for its autocratic excesses, but without
damaging the Polish opposition’s chances of winning in 2023. Ultimately, it is not the EU that will be able to «solve» this crisis,
it is the Polish electorate.
You see the European Union as a kind of great public theatre.
But the Union suffers from a lack of
identification of its leaders. Can you explain this?
The metaphor of the theatre works for what I call, in my
previous book[1], the ‘politics of the event’ – as opposed
to the politics of rules which is played out more behind
the scenes, without an audience. Only a few people can
be the protagonists: the presidents of the Commission,
the European Council, the European Central Bank and the
German and French leaders, for the most part. It is clear
that Angela Merkel has embodied Europe in recent years,
perhaps more than Ursula von der Leyen, including in
the rest of the world. When Emmanuel Macron gives his
speech at the Sorbonne, he has no problem speaking to
all Europeans at the same time. But these actors do not
have a pre-written script; they have to improvise in the
face of events. It is up to them to find the right answers
to reach the public and match their words with their actions;
this is all the more difficult, as expectations are not
the same from one political culture to another. The narrative
is the thing that will allow them to speak and act. I
like what Hannah Arendt said: «By acting and speaking,
men reveal who they are”.
How can this narrative with our shared but extremely
conflicted history be articulated?
Any narrative has to be anchored in history, taking the
long view, without denying everything that may have
divided us in the past. The founding fathers decided in
1950 to take Europe out of history and time, to wipe
out the past: wars, borders, identity. This was perhaps
necessary to win their great wager, to initiate something
utterly new; but this is no longer necessary today. History
is moving forward and, as Europeans, we are no longer
in the same place, either in time or in space. We are
entering a new era that will be dominated by the global
struggle between the United States and China for geopolitical
primacy. It is going to be quite difficult for us as
Europeans not to be vassalized by the Americans in a
new cold war with China, as Australia already is. We must
also review our relationship with our large neighbours,
such as Turkey, Russia and the United Kingdom, and also
with the Middle East and Africa. Migration, for example,
does not present itself in the same terms for the United
States; it is not their problem but ours when conflicts or
wars close to our borders lead to major migratory flows.
Does the European Union have the will and capacity to
become «a power among powers»?
The difficulty with these concepts is that we do not
sufficiently separate the military aspect in the strict sense
from everything else, the ambitions in the field of defence
from those in the field of security in the broad sense. It
is very easy to make fun of European military ambitions,
because it is obvious that we will not be autonomous
tomorrow, or even in ten years’ time, and capable of
defending ourselves militarily. However, there is a whole
industrial aspect on which the European Union is already
working and taking concrete decisions, for example in the
field of rare raw materials, chips and semi-conductors.
This also involves our strategic autonomy, of being able
to produce or secure our supply chains. Amalgams must
States; it is not their problem but ours when conflicts or
wars close to our borders lead to major migratory flows.
Does the European Union have the will and capacity to
become «a power among powers»?
The difficulty with these concepts is that we do not
sufficiently separate the military aspect in the strict sense from everything else, the ambitions in the field of defence
from those in the field of security in the broad sense. It
is very easy to make fun of European military ambitions,
because it is obvious that we will not be autonomous
tomorrow, or even in ten years’ time, and capable of
defending ourselves militarily. However, there is a whole
industrial aspect on which the European Union is already
working and taking concrete decisions, for example in the
field of rare raw materials, chips and semi-conductors.
This also involves our strategic autonomy, of being able
to produce or secure our supply chains. Amalgams must
be avoided because this is detrimental to the quality of
public debate. I must say that if in 2024 there is another
Trump presidency, which cannot be totally ruled out if
you listen to the Washington establishment, and if this
time Trump does decide to withdraw the US from NATO,
all these discussions will go much faster; when there is
an emergency – as the pandemic also showed –, many
things that seemed unthinkable and impossible suddenly
become thinkable and possible, necessary even. We had
better think ahead and prepare for it!
Luuk van Middelaar
Writer, philosopher and historian,
former adviser to Herman van Rompuy,
President of the European Council (2009-2014).
Last published book Pandemonium, Saving Europe, Agenda
Publishing, October 2021
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