Önder Özar Diplomasi Sevgisi: EditorsPicksBanner3INVERT-from-the.png Mary Kate Aylward, Publications Editor JULY 22, 2023 This week's edition brought to you by Mary Kate Aylward, Publications Editor JULY 22, 2023 | Persian Gulf International Airport in Iran this week registered a heat index of 152 degrees Fahrenheit, near the limits of human endurance and the latest example of how policymakers must prepare for a hotter and more dangerous world. It’s not just pandemics or Russian missiles that they have to worry about, but the heat itself has become a killer. In addition to analyzing the world’s most urgent headlines, read on to see how our experts also stepped back this week to look at the bigger picture of our crisis-inflicted world. No hot takes here, just some measured, smart thinking. #1.pngGrain and guns. On Friday, the UN Security Council convened an emergency session to discuss Russia’s departure from a deal to keep grain shipments flowing out of Ukrainian ports along the Black Sea. The grain standoff is only part of a larger southward shift in Moscow’s war against Ukraine, which has seen Russian forces pummeling Odesa from missile batteries in Crimea and amphibious assault ships in the Black Sea. But the grain deal itself matters: Russia’s apparent determination to cripple Ukrainian agricultural exports puts people around the world—including in countries friendly to Russia, like Egypt—at risk of hunger. Analyst Michael Bociurkiw ably captures the scene on the ground in Odesa, with some pointed advice for policymakers on how to address the crisis. Read on for more about this new and dangerous development in the war. #2.pngNukes and hazards. On Thursday evening, two editors and one North Korea expert stood chatting about the week in Korean news. The expert, bemused, described a deluge of calls about the odd case of the US soldier defecting to North Korea. So much else had happened this week—a nuclear-armed US sub docked in Busan; North Korea fired two more ballistic missiles; plans for “the unthinkable” (nuclear war) were discussed. We agreed that these were important developments but had to admit that when someone sprints across the demilitarized zone, we’ve got questions. Over drinks, our colleague gamely sketched out some hypotheticals. In print, though, the experts largely focused on the more geopolitically significant developments. Unpack the details here. #3.pngCrisis comms. First came the pandemic, then the return of conventional war in Europe. Now extreme heat threatens millions. These crises are linked by a common thread: They call for resilience. Countries, cities, and individuals can prepare for them, but those preparations can be costly and “deeply unglamorous,” as Elizabeth Sizeland and Veera Parko know well. Beth is a former UK deputy national security adviser; Veera is the director of international affairs at the Finnish Ministry of the Interior. Both have worked on the partnership-forming, resource allocation, and worst-case-scenario planning that make it possible for states to be resilient in the face of disease, conflict, and natural disaster. Read their recommendations, drawn from experience. #4.pngRSVP reversal. Shortly after Shalom Lipner, who served for twenty-six years in the Israeli government, filed this comprehensive read-ahead telling us what to watch during Israeli President Isaac Herzog’s visit to the White House, it emerged that Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu might also be heading to the United States in the coming months—leaving the escalating protests at home over his attempts to overhaul the judiciary to check in on the unsettled US-Israel relationship. Why don’t we update your article to say Netanyahu is coming, we asked Shalom. Because, he replied, it might be wishful thinking. Shalom’s caution and deep knowledge of Israeli politics serve him well as he surveys the state of the US-Israel relationship. #5.pngIll-gotten gains. “$5 billion: That's how much the Wagner Group has made since 2017 mainly from mining, illicit gold trade, and forestry business in Africa, as well as funding from the Russian state.” You may remember Wagner from the recent coup that wasn’t in which the private military group marched on Moscow before turning around under a Belarus-brokered deal. If you want to understand how the group could have gathered sufficient strength to move so boldly against Putin, start with Kimberly Donovan, Maia Nikoladze, and Ryan Murphy’s breakdown of how Wagner has dodged sanctions for so long. Something else catch your eye at the Atlantic Council or beyond this week? Email us at editor@atlanticcouncil.org to let us know. Privacy Policy © 2023 Atlantic Council. All rights reserved. 1030 15th Street NW, Washington, DC 20005 Manage my email preferences. .View online. Atlantic Council logo

Saturday, July 22, 2023

EditorsPicksBanner3INVERT-from-the.png Mary Kate Aylward, Publications Editor JULY 22, 2023 This week's edition brought to you by Mary Kate Aylward, Publications Editor JULY 22, 2023 | Persian Gulf International Airport in Iran this week registered a heat index of 152 degrees Fahrenheit, near the limits of human endurance and the latest example of how policymakers must prepare for a hotter and more dangerous world. It’s not just pandemics or Russian missiles that they have to worry about, but the heat itself has become a killer. In addition to analyzing the world’s most urgent headlines, read on to see how our experts also stepped back this week to look at the bigger picture of our crisis-inflicted world. No hot takes here, just some measured, smart thinking. #1.pngGrain and guns. On Friday, the UN Security Council convened an emergency session to discuss Russia’s departure from a deal to keep grain shipments flowing out of Ukrainian ports along the Black Sea. The grain standoff is only part of a larger southward shift in Moscow’s war against Ukraine, which has seen Russian forces pummeling Odesa from missile batteries in Crimea and amphibious assault ships in the Black Sea. But the grain deal itself matters: Russia’s apparent determination to cripple Ukrainian agricultural exports puts people around the world—including in countries friendly to Russia, like Egypt—at risk of hunger. Analyst Michael Bociurkiw ably captures the scene on the ground in Odesa, with some pointed advice for policymakers on how to address the crisis. Read on for more about this new and dangerous development in the war. #2.pngNukes and hazards. On Thursday evening, two editors and one North Korea expert stood chatting about the week in Korean news. The expert, bemused, described a deluge of calls about the odd case of the US soldier defecting to North Korea. So much else had happened this week—a nuclear-armed US sub docked in Busan; North Korea fired two more ballistic missiles; plans for “the unthinkable” (nuclear war) were discussed. We agreed that these were important developments but had to admit that when someone sprints across the demilitarized zone, we’ve got questions. Over drinks, our colleague gamely sketched out some hypotheticals. In print, though, the experts largely focused on the more geopolitically significant developments. Unpack the details here. #3.pngCrisis comms. First came the pandemic, then the return of conventional war in Europe. Now extreme heat threatens millions. These crises are linked by a common thread: They call for resilience. Countries, cities, and individuals can prepare for them, but those preparations can be costly and “deeply unglamorous,” as Elizabeth Sizeland and Veera Parko know well. Beth is a former UK deputy national security adviser; Veera is the director of international affairs at the Finnish Ministry of the Interior. Both have worked on the partnership-forming, resource allocation, and worst-case-scenario planning that make it possible for states to be resilient in the face of disease, conflict, and natural disaster. Read their recommendations, drawn from experience. #4.pngRSVP reversal. Shortly after Shalom Lipner, who served for twenty-six years in the Israeli government, filed this comprehensive read-ahead telling us what to watch during Israeli President Isaac Herzog’s visit to the White House, it emerged that Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu might also be heading to the United States in the coming months—leaving the escalating protests at home over his attempts to overhaul the judiciary to check in on the unsettled US-Israel relationship. Why don’t we update your article to say Netanyahu is coming, we asked Shalom. Because, he replied, it might be wishful thinking. Shalom’s caution and deep knowledge of Israeli politics serve him well as he surveys the state of the US-Israel relationship. #5.pngIll-gotten gains. “$5 billion: That's how much the Wagner Group has made since 2017 mainly from mining, illicit gold trade, and forestry business in Africa, as well as funding from the Russian state.” You may remember Wagner from the recent coup that wasn’t in which the private military group marched on Moscow before turning around under a Belarus-brokered deal. If you want to understand how the group could have gathered sufficient strength to move so boldly against Putin, start with Kimberly Donovan, Maia Nikoladze, and Ryan Murphy’s breakdown of how Wagner has dodged sanctions for so long. Something else catch your eye at the Atlantic Council or beyond this week? Email us at editor@atlanticcouncil.org to let us know. Privacy Policy © 2023 Atlantic Council. All rights reserved. 1030 15th Street NW, Washington, DC 20005 Manage my email preferences. .View online. Atlantic Council logo

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Mary Kate Aylward, Publications Editor

JULY 22, 2023 | Persian Gulf International Airport in Iran this week registered a heat index of 152 degrees Fahrenheit, near the limits of human endurance and the latest example of how policymakers must prepare for a hotter and more dangerous world. It’s not just pandemics or Russian missiles that they have to worry about, but the heat itself has become a killer. In addition to analyzing the world’s most urgent headlines, read on to see how our experts also stepped back this week to look at the bigger picture of our crisis-inflicted world. No hot takes here, just some measured, smart thinking.

Grain and guns. On Friday, the UN Security Council convened an emergency session to discuss Russia’s departure from a deal to keep grain shipments flowing out of Ukrainian ports along the Black Sea. The grain standoff is only part of a larger southward shift in Moscow’s war against Ukraine, which has seen Russian forces pummeling Odesa from missile batteries in Crimea and amphibious assault ships in the Black Sea. But the grain deal itself matters: Russia’s apparent determination to cripple Ukrainian agricultural exports puts people around the world—including in countries friendly to Russia, like Egypt—at risk of hunger. Analyst Michael Bociurkiw ably captures the scene on the ground in Odesa, with some pointed advice for policymakers on how to address the crisis. Read on for more about this new and dangerous development in the war.

Nukes and hazards. On Thursday evening, two editors and one North Korea expert stood chatting about the week in Korean news. The expert, bemused, described a deluge of calls about the odd case of the US soldier defecting to North Korea. So much else had happened this week—a nuclear-armed US sub docked in Busan; North Korea fired two more ballistic missiles; plans for “the unthinkable” (nuclear war) were discussed. We agreed that these were important developments but had to admit that when someone sprints across the demilitarized zone, we’ve got questions. Over drinks, our colleague gamely sketched out some hypotheticals. In print, though, the experts largely focused on the more geopolitically significant developments. Unpack the details here.

Crisis comms. First came the pandemic, then the return of conventional war in Europe. Now extreme heat threatens millions. These crises are linked by a common thread: They call for resilience. Countries, cities, and individuals can prepare for them, but those preparations can be costly and “deeply unglamorous,” as Elizabeth Sizeland and Veera Parko know well. Beth is a former UK deputy national security adviser; Veera is the director of international affairs at the Finnish Ministry of the Interior. Both have worked on the partnership-forming, resource allocation, and worst-case-scenario planning that make it possible for states to be resilient in the face of disease, conflict, and natural disaster. Read their recommendations, drawn from experience.

RSVP reversal. Shortly after Shalom Lipner, who served for twenty-six years in the Israeli government, filed this comprehensive read-ahead telling us what to watch during Israeli President Isaac Herzog’s visit to the White House, it emerged that Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu might also be heading to the United States in the coming months—leaving the escalating protests at home over his attempts to overhaul the judiciary to check in on the unsettled US-Israel relationship. Why don’t we update your article to say Netanyahu is coming, we asked Shalom. Because, he replied, it might be wishful thinking. Shalom’s caution and deep knowledge of Israeli politics serve him well as he surveys the state of the US-Israel relationship.

Ill-gotten gains. “$5 billion: That's how much the Wagner Group has made since 2017 mainly from mining, illicit gold trade, and forestry business in Africa, as well as funding from the Russian state.” You may remember Wagner from the recent coup that wasn’t in which the private military group marched on Moscow before turning around under a Belarus-brokered deal. If you want to understand how the group could have gathered sufficient strength to move so boldly against Putin, start with Kimberly Donovan, Maia Nikoladze, and Ryan Murphy’s breakdown of how Wagner has dodged sanctions for so long.

Something else catch your eye at the Atlantic Council or beyond this week? Email us at editor@atlanticcouncil.org to let us know.