Wednesday, December 17, 2025

Brookings Center on the United States and Europe - December 17, 2025

 

Brookings Center on the United States and Europe

December 17, 2025

Dear colleagues and friends, 

 

In last December’s newsletter, I quoted Mark Twain’s saying “Truth is stranger than fiction, but it’s because fiction is obliged to stick to possibilities; truth isn’t” and ended with “it’s a safe bet that the coming year will offer more stranger-than-fiction events to write about.”

 

Indeed it did. Consider this remarkable opening paragraph in a Financial Times dispatch from Brussels this week, as Russia continues to bombard Ukrainian cities, power stations, and ports: “Donald Trump’s assault on the EU has opened rifts within the bloc’s executive and set national leaders at odds, threatening to paralyze Europe’s response over fears that standing up to the US will hurt Ukraine.”  

 

And as the new chief of Britain’s external intelligence service MI6, Blaise Metreweli, reminded listeners in a speech this past Monday, “an aggressive, expansionist and revisionist Russia, seeking to subjugate Ukraine and harass NATO” is also “testing us in the grey zone with tactics that are just below the threshold of war.” 

 

2026, this much seems certain, will test Ukraine, Europe, NATO, the transatlantic relationship—and our democratic orders—in extraordinary ways. We at CUSE will continue to accompany these unfolding events and trends in the coming year with analysis and policy recommendations. But for now, we offer you our latest writing; a best-of collection of our work in 2025; and some not entirely serious holiday viewing and reading recommendations from the team! 

 

In more personal news: We are sad to be saying adieu to our colleague Tara Varma this month, but look forward to collaborating with her in her new position as managing director of strategic foresight and director of the German Marshall Fund’s Paris office. Congratulations to our alumnus Jim Goldgeier, who has been elected President of the International Studies Association for 2027-28. And I was deeply honored and touched to be awarded the Order of Merit of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the Republic of Estonia in a ceremony last week.  

 

Finally, always let us know if you have questions or comments. In these times, we are more grateful for your moral support and interest in our work than ever! 

I wish you happy holidays and all of us much fortitude for 2026! 

 

Constanze Stelzenmüller 

Director, Center on the United States and Europe 

The Brookings Institution 

 
Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi and French Minister for Europe and Foreign Affairs Jean-Noel Barrot attend a press conference at the foreign ministry in Paris, France July 4, 2025. (Aurelien Morissard/Pool via REUTERS

How should Europe position itself for systemic rivalry with China? 

 

China has gone from being a strategic competitor of Europe to a systemic rival, challenging the continent’s stability and future prosperity. Tara Varma and Abigaël Vasselier argue that the European Union must reevaluate its priorities and focus on increasing the EU’s geopolitical power to push back on China.   

 

Read more

How should the United States cooperate with Europe on China strategy? 

 

While the U.S. and Europe share concerns about growing Chinese influence, they diverge in their approach. Zack Cooper outlines four constraints on cooperation, as well as opportunities for transatlantic alignment on economic and security policy. 

 

Read more

Breaking down Trump’s 2025 National Security Strategy

 

The Trump administration’s National Security Strategy showed a major shift away from great power competition toward a focus on immigration, geoeconomics, and “spheres of influence.” Brookings experts unpack the document and assess its implications for U.S. foreign policy. 

 

Read more | Read Thomas Wright on the NSS in The Atlantic

 
A torn but flying Ukrainian flag is seen along a road in the Donetsk region. (Shutterstock, Drop of Light)

Ukraine: Pressure on Zelenskyy and prospects for peace 

Thursday, December 18, 2025 | 10:00am-11:00am EST 

 

After a major corruption scandal and amidst peace negotiations, the future of Ukraine remains unclear. On December 18, CUSE will convene a virtual discussion on the diplomacy and domestic politics around the conflict as well as the prospects for peace with Mariana Budjeryn, Fiona Hill, and Thomas Wright, moderated by the New York Times’ Anton Troianovski. 

 

Register to watch here | Listen to Hill and Wright on The Current 

     
    CUSE’s holiday reading and watch list 

     

    Aslı Aydıntaşbaş: "What We Can Know" (2025) by Ian McEwan. He calls it “science fiction without science.” It is about love, climate change, marriage, memory, and human desire for war—all the things we deal with today. “Death By Lightning” (2025) on Netflix is also more interesting than one more season of “The Diplomat.” It is about U.S. President James Garfield and his assassination.  

     

    Caroline Grassmuck: "When Harry Met Sally" (1989), "A Few Good Men" (1992), "This is Spinal Tap" (1984), etc. Anything and everything Rob Reiner this week.

     

    Samantha Gross:  "The Harder I Fight, the More I Love You" (2025) by Neko Case. I picked up a signed copy at her show a few weeks ago!  She's an amazing artist who has had a rough life, her prose is as beautiful as her songs. 

     

    Anna Grzymała-Busse: Our Christmas film tradition: "Master and Commander" (2003). Brilliant film about the Napoleonic Wars, naturalists, the governance of men, honor and duty, and unlikely friendships. It’s based on the first volume of the 19 nautical novels by Patrick O’Brien, which I would also highly, highly recommend.

     

    Daniel S. Hamilton: "Nations Apart: How Clashing Regional Characters Shattered America" (2025) by Colin Woodard. A follow-on to his "American Nations," it is an insightful read into the role regional cultural, political and economic differences play in America’s divisive polarization. Anticipating the 250th anniversary of the Declaration of Independence this coming summer, Ken Burns’ “The American Revolution is a powerful story of America’s first civil war. 

     

    Kari Heerman: I've been enjoying a bit of an escape by reading Dickens, "A Christmas Carol" (1843). Of course, I've known the story for as long as I can remember, but it is such a delight to read it in Dickens' own words. 

     

    Anand Menon: “1883” (2021), the Yellowstone prequel. As a non-American, it taught me more about America than anything I’d ever seen or read! 

     

    Steven Pifer: "The Measure" (2025) by Nikki Erlick. What happens when everyone in the world over age 22 finds a box on their doorstep engraved “The measure of your life lies within”? 

     

    Ted Reinert: "Ducks: Two Years in the Oil Sands" (2022). It’s a memoir in the form of a graphic novel by Kate Beaton, a Cape Breton native who heads to the Alberta oil sands in 2005 to pay off her college loans. Beaton illuminates an environment that is toxic in more ways than one and full of her fellow economic migrants from Atlantic Canada, with pathos, humor, and beautiful drawings.  

     

    Mathilda Silbiger: Set in Victorian northern England, the four-part BBC miniseries "North and South" traces the relationship of cotton mill owner John Thornton and middle-class southerner Margaret Hale. I watched it with my grandma last winter, and we both loved it. Also: I recommend the "What Do We Owe Our Friends?" episode of The Atlantic's "How To" podcast, which has really shaped how I think about showing up for my friends.

     

    Constanze Stelzenmüller: I am going to read Philip Pullman’s "The Rose Field" (2025), the third and final volume of his Book of Dust series—the second trilogy about Lyra, one of the most willful and poignant heroines in young adult literature. I’ve been critical of the second, but the first ("The Golden Compass," "The Subtle Knife," and "The Amber Spyglass," 1995–2000) was incomparable. As a Jane Austen movie masochist, I was pleasantly surprised by the melancholy lightness of "Jane Austen a Gâché ma Vie" (Jane Austen Ruined My Life, 2024). 

     

    Tara Varma: "The Loneliness of Sonia and Sunny" (2025) which marks Kiran Desai’s great comeback, after 20 years of literary absence. It tells the story of two young people, seeking love and hope, amidst tragedy, across India and The United States. Also, I finally watched the first—excellent—season of the series "Slow Horses," detailing the lives of washed out and failed MI5 agents in London, who somehow still get involved in fighting conspiracies against the U.K. 

       

      More research and commentary

       

      The AfD and America. As the Trump administration identifies "patriotic European parties" as its real allies in the NSS, the Alternative for Germany is sending delegations to Washington and New York to build a transatlantic axis of the far right, Constanze Stelzenmüller writes in the Financial Times.

       

      EU reform. Europe needs to use the present crisis to reform its economic model so it can build its defenses and act as a global power, Douglas Rediker and Heidi Crebo-Rediker argue in Foreign Affairs. 

       

      US alliances. The second Trump administrations has challenged traditional alliances. In Foreign Affairs, Philip H. Gordon and Mara Karlin urge allies to prepare for further deterioration of relations and craft a Plan B in the face of an absent U.S. partner. 

       

      💡 In case you missed it

       

      About the Center on the United States and Europe at Brookings

       

      The Center on the United States and 


      Europe (CUSE) offers independent research and 


      recommendations for policymakers, fosters high-


      level dialogue on developments in Europe and 


      global challenges that affect transatlantic relations, 


      and convenes roundtables, workshops, and public 


      forums on policy-relevant issues.

       
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